Under U.S. pressure the Turkish parliament will vote tomorrow on joining the coalition against the Islamic State. But that will only be a disguise. The real aim of the Turkish president Erdogan is to install a puppet Islamist regime in Damascus. That is the price he is asking for:
Turkey will not allow coalition members to use its military bases or its territory in the fight against the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) if the objective does not also include ousting the Bashar al-Assad regime, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan hinted on Oct. 1.
Erdogan’s Turkey is cooperating with the Islamic State, partly for ideological reasons, partly out of fear the Islamic State fighters in Turkey would attack within the country.
Erdogan is now planning for some Turkish controlled border zone in Syria where he could train anti-Syrian forces and continue to deal we the Islamic State out of the eyes of interested observers. The likely false pretense for a Turkish invasion in Syria will be a tomb under Turkish protection which has been for some time surrounded, but never attacked, by IS fighters:
Yeni Safak, a pro-government daily, said that as many as 1,100 fighters of the Islamic State, which now controls more one-third of Iraq and one-third of Syria, had deployed around the shrine of Suleyman Shah, the grandfather of the founder of the Ottoman Empire. […] Turkey maintains an honor guard and protective detachment of 36 troops at the tomb, which lies about about 15 miles inside Syria.
Another reason to occupy a border zone within Syria are the Kurdish held areas within Syria under control of the YPG, a sister organization of the Kurdish PKK which is fighting for Kurd rights within Turkey. The area around Kobane is currently under attack by the Islamic State and neither Turkey nor the U.S. is doing anything to prevent a takeover there:
[I]n recent days, the Islamic State has been advancing, and the U.S. coalition, no doubt spurred on by Turkey’s fears that the YPG is allied with its own Kurdish separatist insurgents, hasn’t come to the rescue. When Turkish Kurds tried to send in fighters, the Turkish government stopped them, using tear gas.On Tuesday there was no sign of more volunteers, and none of the two dozen or so returning Kobane residents said they intended to join the militia, and a sense of hopelessness swept those who’d fled.
Russia has given warnings to Turkey to not proceed with its plans. Moscow surely has contingency plans for further support of Syria should the U.S. or Turkey attack the Syrian government.
During the last week the Islamic State has pulled back some of its fighters around Damascus. This has allowed the Syrian army to widen its protection zone around the city. But the last time the Islamic State pulled back, then in north-west Syria, the planned retreat was followed by the big attack on Mosul. The current retreat around Damascus is therefore likely in preparation for yet another big push against an unknown bigger target.
The U.S. acting against the Islamic State seems to be without any strategic framework. It has no to little intelligence about the targets it attacks and the lack of care of civilian casualties is quite astonishing.If this continues the U.S. will again end up as the one party hated by all other parties of the conflict.
The confused thinking is not limited to the White House. For the last three years the Washington Post’s David Ignatius has propagandized for a united “moderate opposition” in Syria. That pink pony has yet to arrive. But he today has a new great idea of how to finally reach that aim: “Bomb Christians and more civilians”:
[I]f U.S. airstrikes and other support are seen to be hitting Muslim fighters only, and strengthening the despised Assad, this strategy for creating a “moderate opposition” will likely fail.
Posted by b on October 1, 2014 at 01:26 PM | Permalink
On the city of RabiaPosted by: Mina | Oct 1, 2014 1:37:02 PM | 2
Who is surprised? Was Erdogan REALLY outraged at Israel over Mari Marmara? Seems more that it was for domestic consumption. Now he’s looking for the Ottoman piece out of the Syria destabilization campaign pretending to be about bombing ISIS – here’s your backdoor invasion of Syria Obongo and his Neocunts wanted LAST September.
Trust a Turk at your own risk.Posted by: Farflungstar | Oct 1, 2014 1:46:47 PM | 4
The government sent a proposal to parliament late on Tuesday which would broaden existing powers and allow Ankara to order military action to “defeat attacks directed towards our country from all terrorist groups in Iraq and Syria”.
The proposal would also mean Turkey, until now reluctant to take a frontline role against Islamic State, could allow foreign forces to use its territory for cross-border incursions.
But President Tayyip Erdogan said the removal of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad remained a Turkish priority and stressed Ankara’s fears that U.S.-led air strikes without a broader political strategy would only prolong the instability.
Turkey accuses Assad of stoking the growth of Islamic State through sectarian policies.
“We will fight effectively against both (Islamic State) and all other terrorist organisations within the region; this will always be our priority,” he told the opening of parliament, but added: “Tons of bombs dropped from the air will only delay the threat and danger.
“Turkey is not a country in pursuit of temporary solutions nor will Turkey allow others to take advantage of it.”
The new NATO chief said the alliance would come to Turkey’s aid if it was attacked, in an apparent reference to the border crisis.
Posted by: okie farmer | Oct 1, 2014 1:53:52 PM | 5
Diehl’s stint as the Post’s deputy editorial page editor has coincided with what many observers consider to be a decidedly hawkish and conservative turn in the page’s editorial stances. Diehl’s own writings—he publishes a regular column for the Post on foreign affairs—typically lean to the militarist right, leading one observer to characterize him as “the knee-jerk hawk at the Washington Post.” Among his common targets are leftist leaders in Latin America and the Middle East.
The strategic disaster of the Iraq War did not change Diehl’s attitude toward U.S. intervention abroad. In a column marking the tenth anniversary of the war, Diehl lamented that U.S. policymakers had learned the “wrong lessons” from Iraq and had become unnecessarily timid about intervening in Syria. “In the absence of U.S. intervention,” he claimed, “Syria is looking like it could produce a much worse humanitarian disaster and a far more serious strategic reverse for the United States” than Iraq. “The tragedy of the post-Iraq logic embraced by President Obama is that it has ruled out not just George W. Bush-style invasions but also the more modest intervention used by the Clinton administration to prevent humanitarian catastrophes and protect U.S. interests in the 1990s.”
Posted by: okie farmer | Oct 1, 2014 2:24:22 PM | 9
There is still a border between Syria and Iraq …
Targeting IS: New PM Abadi opposes Arab air strikes in IraqIraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi has told the BBC he “totally” opposes Arab nations joining air strikes against Islamic State in his country. Several Arab states, including Saudi Arabia and Jordan, have joined the international coalition against IS. Their aircraft have carried out strikes in Syria, but only those from the US, UK and France have hit targets in Iraq.
More US raids as ISIL advances to within 2km from Kobanê, a bordertown(Al Jazeera) Oct. 1, 2014 – US-led forces have carried out at least five air strikes against the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) outside Kobane, a monitoring group has said, after the group’s fighters pushed to within 2km of the Syrian-Kurdish town. The strikes hit ISIL fronts south and southeast of the town, also known as Ain al-Arab, which the group has been battling to take for more than two weeks.
- The US exploited the Muslim Brotherhood in the overthrow of Mossadeq in 1953.
- The US maintained the Pahlevi Dynasty with terror by the CIA and Israel’s Mossad
- Under president Carter, the Brzezinski doctrine to foil the Soviets, Saudi Arabia was asked to support mujahideen fighters, train and arm them. Pakistan and the ISI gave support and later set up the Taliban in Afghanistan to prevent influence from archrival India in the region. The beginning of a young devout Saudi Osama Bin Laden and his future partner Al Zawahiri from the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood
- President Reagan gave support to Saddam Hussein in the war against the Khomeini regime of Iran. The US turned a blind eye on Iraq’s use of chemical warfare.
- The first Gulf War was fought on behalf of the royal families of Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. All expenses paid.
- The US and Israel gave support to Sunni factions in Lebanon to counter Iranian influence with Syria and Hezbollah.
- The Bush regime was closely allied with Saudi Arabia and Israel on policy towards Lebanon and Syria, tried to blame the Hariri assassination on Syrian intelligence. The U.N. investigation cleared the Syrian generals and intelligence officers from blame.
- Bush and Cheney gave the Saudi King and Prince Bandar a black eye by invading Iraq, contrary to the plea of the Saudis. Israel’s PM Sharon had pushed for the attack on Saddam Hussein and Iraq. Once the occupation had become reality and the majority Shia took power, the US allowed the Saudis to fund and arm the Sunni population of Anbar province. Hereby got al-Zarqawi leverage and Al Qaeda in Iraq (AQI) was founded. As the displeasure with the Americans and its allies grew (Fallujah massacre and Abu Ghraib), the insurgency drew support. The integrated population of Baghdad became segregated where the communities were divided into Shia and Sunni ethnicity. The etnic war was unleashed and Iraq never recovered.
- The mess Bush made became much worse when the Obama neocons decided to push for regime change in Libya and Syria. The Obama administration bears full responsibility for the Syrian quagmire.
- Of course Israel has exploited the War on Terror after the 9/11 attacks for its own goal: delegitimize the Palestinians and further the Zionist goal of Jewish settlements in Judea and Samaria up to the Jordan river. The US administrations have always obliged the wishes of the Israelis contrary to U.N. Security Councils resolutions and International Law. The US always failed to be an honest peace broker with the Palestinians.Saudi Arabia for decades have set up madrasses (religious schools) in Lebanon and Syria to undermine the unity and stability of both governments/states. Israel like the US makes use of division and makes deals with any and all sides: dictators, rogue elements, terror groups and legitimate governments. A false flag attack is part of the war for survival.○ Israeli TV News Claims Dearborn Hotbed of Islamist TerrorismI won’t cry for you Bob Graham.Posted by: Oui | Oct 1, 2014 3:40:18 PM | 16
I guess he is the one who started the Italian Letter for the excuse for regime change in Iraq or he is the one who spent $3B (it is Qatar by the way) to hire foreign rebels to outset “himself” and kill all the minorities in his country.Man there are some stupid people advising this administration , as bad as the last one.Posted by: Yul | Oct 1, 2014 4:20:02 PM | 18
itd be worth tweeting Ignatius about who exactly despises ‘Assad’….Netanyahoo does but suffers from the fact he really is despised around the worldPosted by: brian | Oct 1, 2014 6:41:26 PM | 23
Does Russia have any leverage with Turkey?
AlMonitor, Sep 23
As the European Union toughens sanctions on Russia over the Ukraine crisis, uneasiness is growing over the possibility of Russia retaliating by cutting natural gas supplies.
…And what is Turkey doing to get ready for possible shortages?
Before we answer the question, let’s see how much gas Turkey imports from Russia. Last year, Turkey imported a total of 45 billion cubic meters (1.6 trillion cubic feet) of gas, including 26.6 billion cubic meters (939 billion cubic feet) from Russia. Two gas conduits carry gas from Russia to Turkey: the Blue Stream, which runs under the Black Sea to the Turkish port city of Samsun and has an annual capacity of 16 billion cubic meters (565 billion cubic feet), and the Western pipeline, which reaches Turkey via Ukraine, Romania and Bulgaria, has a capacity of 14 billion cubic meters (494 billion cubic feet) and is vital for Istanbul.
The crisis between Russia and Ukraine poses no risk to the Blue Stream, but may affect the Western pipeline. Russia has already cut gas supplies for Ukraine over its $5.15 billion gas debt.
If the cutoff continues, Ukraine is considering meeting its needs by drawing gas from conduits to Europe and Turkey that pass through its territory. This would be a bad scenario for Turkey, for it raises the prospect of Russia turning off the taps of the Western pipeline to prevent Ukraine from taking the gas. . .
___________”the Islamic State, which now controls more one-third of Iraq and one-third of Syria”
This is blatant fear-mongering from the media. Its idiotic. ISIS “controls” some vast desert with a relative handful of fighters. Yet the media always plays into ISIS’s own propaganda. Funny coincidence, I suppose.
Posted by: guest77 | Oct 1, 2014 7:36:25 PM | 25
I do take the point that they control many cities and a large area.Yes, which has been the US objective in Iraq, to atone for its expensive screwed-up faulty stupid Operation Iraqi Freedom which converted Iraq to an Iran ally. This was a big mistake requiring corrective action, as all mistakes do.Posted by: Don Bacon | Oct 1, 2014 9:10:08 PM | 30
you make it sound like the 24/7 war party had some grand concept apart from imposing a failed state.
No, I didn’t. You made that up.
You might want to click on my name, below.Posted by: Don Bacon | Oct 1, 2014 9:38:47 PM | 32
Posted by: Cold N. Holefield | Oct 1, 2014 2:41:13 PM | 10Russia’s plan, from the moment Vlad moved his (combat-ready) fleet from Tartus to open water in the Med (and augmented it with extra ships and began refreshing it at regular intervals), was to protect Syria from outside military interference – by NATO’s self-deceiving pussies & dimwits. NATO, by its very nature, is first and foremost a strictly ornamental anti-Russia (dis-)organisation.Putin will destroy NATO if its clowns try to degrade Syria’s ability to defend itself from INTERNAL enemies. ALL external enemies are Russia’s responsibility to crush.I keep a fresh packet of popcorn ready so I can fully enjoy the opening salvo … of NATO’s demise.Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Oct 1, 2014 9:52:59 PM | 33
Any IS attacks upon Baghdad and Kuwait can be easily countered by Iran and US troops respectively. Iran’s army is only a short drive from Baghdad, and the US Army and Marines are in Kuwait. I believe that IS intentions have already been mostly realized, occupying large sections of Syria and Iraq, also that the US is happy with what they’ve accomplished, the US having spawned ISIS. Iran’s allies Iraq and Syria have been suitably weakened, and future changes in the current situation will probably be limited, because of the Iran and US military capabilities I have mentioned. We might even see some successes against ISIS by Iran-Iraq collaboration on the ground.Posted by: Don Bacon | Oct 1, 2014 11:41:58 PM | 39
I can’t predict the future any better than anyone else, but looking at the near term, ISIS has satisfied the (usual) US goal of promoting destabilization in two Iran allies, so what’s not to like for the US.Posted by: Don Bacon | Oct 2, 2014 12:05:22 AM | 41
The officials say they repeatedly warned the president and other officials about the growing risks of ISIS, and that the White House is trying to scapegoat them for ISIS’ growth.
In a federal indictment last month, prosecutors alleged that [Captain] Nguyen managed to skim more than $690,000 in cash as the civil affairs officer overseeing millions of dollars intended for reconstruction projects and payments to private Iraqi security forces northeast of Baghdad. The 28-year-old West Point graduate is accused of packing cash into boxes and mailing them to his family’s home in Beaverton, Ore.
As early as 2007, long before the paid-mercenary program ended in 2012, there were signs of trouble.
NYTimes, Dec 23, 2007
In a Force for Iraqi Calm, Seeds of Conflict
The Awakening movement, a predominantly Sunni Arab force recruited to fight Sunni Islamic extremists like Al Qaeda in Mesopotamia, has become a great success story after its spread from Sunni tribes in Anbar Province to become an ad-hoc armed force of 65,000 to 80,000 across the country in less than a year. A linchpin of the American strategy to pacify Iraq, the movement has been widely credited with turning around the violence-scarred areas where the Sunni insurgency has been based.
How, when thousands are joining each month, can spies and extremists be reliably weeded out? How can the men’s loyalty be maintained, given their tribal and sectarian ties, and in many cases their insurgent pasts? And crucially, how can the movement be sustained once the Americans turn over control to a Shiite-dominated government that has been wary, and sometimes hostile, toward the groups?
Despite the successes of the movement, including the members’ ability to provide valuable intelligence and give rebuilding efforts a new chance in war-shattered communities, the American military acknowledges that it is also a high-risk proposition. It is an experiment in counterinsurgency warfare that could contain the seeds of a civil war — in which, if the worst fears come true, the United States would have helped organize some of the Sunni forces arrayed against the central government on which so many American lives and dollars have been spent.
I didn’t make it clear — Obama will go through the SHOW of fighting ISIS so he can remain as a wartime president, which is the new normal. The US air forces are trying out their new glide bombs, the publicity looks good, the media is happy with higher ad rates, the Pentagon has stuff to pontificate about, the end of sequestration looks more favorable, Lockheed is declaring a dividend as its stock is up 40% over a year ago, and above all the profits are rolling in and the pols are happy that the US is “doing something” against beheaders to retain its status as world #1.Posted by: Don Bacon | Oct 2, 2014 12:38:31 AM | 45
The deep inconsistency — and likely cause of this whole enterprise’s ultimate failure — is simply the paradox that the West’s allies of choice will not, and cannot, be true ‘partners’ to this ‘war.’ They have been too tainted with the firing up of this same Salafist ideology for too many decades.
That’s not a bug (“inconsistency”): it’s a feature (the Anglosphere’s nihilism and utter disdain for human life).
There’s also this:
The U.S. administration thus is between a rock and a hard place: Saudi Arabia desperately wants Assad’s head on a plate and volunteers to fund the “war” effort for that end. But, for Obama to assent to Iranian-Russian conditions — and thereby indirectly strengthen President Assad — he will cause outrage in the Gulf and amongst the “moderate” Syrian exile insurgents. By doing as the Gulf wishes (attacking Assad’s forces), however, he will almost certainly tip Russia, Iran and Hezbollah into overt opposition and escalation, which will greatly complicate the war on ISIS in Syria (and in Iraq, too).
Poor, poor US administration! As if most wars today are not caused by the US’s maniacal insistence on being dictator of the world, instead of minding its own business and getting its own house in order. Dismantle the Empire: no more destruction of countries or getting caught “between a rock and a hard place”.
In a tweet made on Sunday, however, Mr Rajab said that many Bahrainis who had joined the Islamic State (IS) militant group had come from state security institutions.These institutions served as the “ideological incubator” for IS, the tweet alleged.
So why did ISIS attack American interests in Kurdistan and beheaded US and British journalists to draw these countries in.
Posted by: somebody | Oct 2, 2014 3:32:16 AM | 56
http://www.opednews.com/articles/Official-Washington-s-Syri-by-Robert-Parry-Assad_FANTASY_Neocons_Obama-141001-187.htmlPosted by: really | Oct 2, 2014 4:59:06 AM | 57Source: Moon of Alabama Hjælp os med at sprede artiklen til andre!Tryk på “Synes godt om” og send den videre til din egen Facebook, hvis du har en sådan.
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